Jul 12, 2008 12:27AM GMT
Question
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Politics - United States
Is Barack Obama's drop in the polls evidence he cannot win the general election?
http://www.newsweek.com/id/145737"A month after emerging victorious from the bruising Democratic nominating contest, some of Barack Obama's glow may be fading. In the latest NEWSWEEK Poll, the Illinois senator leads Republican nominee John McCain by just 3 percentage points, 44 percent to 41 percent. The statistical dead heat is a marked change from last month's NEWSWEEK Poll, where Obama led McCain by 15 points, 51 percent to 36 percent.
Obama's rapid drop comes at a strategically challenging moment for the Democratic candidate. Having vanquished Hillary Clinton in early June, Obama quickly went about repositioning himself for a general-election audience, an unpleasant task for any nominee emerging from the pander-heavy primary contests and particularly for a candidate who'd slogged through a vigorous primary challenge in most every contest from January until June. Obama's reversal on FISA legislation, his support of faith-based initiatives and his decision to opt out of the campaign public-financing system left him open to charges he was a flip-flopper. In the new poll, 53 percent of voters (and 50 percent of former Hillary Clinton supporters) believe that Obama has changed his position on key issues in order to gain political advantage.
More seriously, some Obama supporters worry that the spectacle of their candidate eagerly embracing his old rival, Hillary Clinton, and traveling the country courting big donors at lavish fund-raisers, may have done lasting damage to his image as an arbiter of a new kind of politics. This is a major concern since Obama's outsider credentials, have, in the past, played a large part in his appeal to moderate, swing voters. In the new poll, McCain leads Obama among independents 41 percent to 34 percent, with 25 percent favoring neither candidate. In June's NEWSWEEK Poll, Obama bested McCain among independent voters, 48 percent to 36 percent."
(hat tip HotAir)
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raves +3 posted Sep 10, 2008 01:54AM GMT
Answered Yes
He's not gonna win...He has a hell of a sales pitch for the young and the self pity bunch . There is just too much time for the smart Americans to read the facts on this clowns "big" plans for us all. Holy crap! CHANGE is an understatement. He's gonna " change" our money into his government money. Big tax increase! ... I'm tellin the truth !!! -
raves +1 posted Sep 09, 2008 11:29PM GMT
Answered No
McCain/Palin all the way.
But folks it aint over, don't relax.
Of course if Obama keeps up at the same rate he is going now he will be far, far to the right of McCain.
Off shore drilling.
No higher taxes if the economy is weak. Does this mean taxes are good for a strong economy?
The surge was a success!
My head is spinning trying to keep up with the changes to his positions.
Positions and principles mean nothing to this man. -
raves +3 posted Sep 09, 2008 10:46PM GMT
Answered Yes
all his supporters and the media- from the getgo were raising him up like a celebrity -like a rockstar- guess a rockstar can only be on top so long- till someone better and more interesting comes along. I think people actually started to listen to what he was saying- really listen - not his fancy speeches but his stump talks- his agenda. - Obama isWrong for America -
raves +5 posted Sep 09, 2008 05:08PM GMT
Answered Yes
Now that McCain has the country's attention, he will bring it home in November! With Sarah Palin at his side, (the third woman to run for #1 or #2 spot) this is a winning ticket.
Obama's biggest mistake, no Hillary as VP and he knows it. Have you seen her on the campaign trail for him? She is grinning ear to ear. As she speaks to the crowds saying "No way no McCain I just know she is thinking, Sarah, YOU GO GIRL! What comes around goes around. She didn't win the nomination but everyone will look at her after the election and think "She was right, why did we ever pick what's his name".
I think Geraldine Ferraro feels the same.
The party's nominee Walter Mondale ignored criticism that he was only choosing Ferraro because of her gender. A New York congressman, she had only six years in office at the time.
Amid the enthusiasm among Republicans about the boldness showed by Senator John McCain in choosing Mrs Palin as his running mate, Mrs Ferraro provides a salutary tale.
In her acceptance speech at the party's convention, Ferraro declared that "CHANGE WAS IN THE AIRr" – a slogan echoed by Senator Barack Obama.
"By choosing a woman you send a powerful signal to all Americans. There are no doors we cannot unlock. If we can do this we can do anything," she told delegates 24 years ago. -
raves +5 posted Jul 15, 2008 12:55AM GMT
Answered Yes
Clearly, I saw that months ago. America needs a strong leader, not a flip floper who wants to make everyone happy. Hilary tried to implement health care reform in spite of insurance companies protests. McCain fough for Hispanics rights even though it hurt his career. Obama did nothing. Don't vote for empty suit. Vote for real Americans who will fight for the people and can implement changes. -
raves +2 posted Jul 12, 2008 10:39PM GMT
Answered No
Polls in general are not reliable. Some pollsters ask questions that stack the deck to generate the answers they want. Other pollsters use fair questions by asking only the people that they believe will provide the answers that they want. I would prefer that both Obama and McCain would lose this election to a write in candidate. Both of them are too strongly tied to Ted Kennedy to be a better president than Carter. -
raves +6 Jul 16, 2008 07:13AM GMT






Answered Yes
Heart I heard today the Rasmussen poll had McCain only 1% behind Obama.. that is nothing..a week ago it was 6 % and two weeks ago it was more.. so this speaks highly of how badly Obama is doing..he has even dropped in popularity in Illinois they said today..